research

working papers

• Robust Distributional Estimation and Projection of German Potential Output 1970 - 2070, with L. Other and C. Zuber (mimeo)

• btsm - Flexible Bayesian Time Series Simulation, Estimation and Prediciton in R (mimeo)

• Robust Real-Time Estimates of the German Output Gap based on a Multivariate Trend-Cycle Decomposition, with T. Berger, r&r

• Do Global Public and Private Credit Shocks Distinctly Impact the Business Cycle? Evidence from 38 Advanced and Emerging Economies, with H. Herwartz and H. Rohloff

• How Do Credit Supply Conditions Transmit Across the Globe?, with H. Herwartz and H. Rohloff

publication (peer-reviewed)

• Energy efficiency of residential buildings in the European Union – An exploratory analysis of cross-country consumption patterns, with A. Thonipara, P. Runst and K. Bizer, in: Energy Policy, 129(6), pp. 1156-1167, 2019.

publication (invited)

• Die Konjunkturbereinigung der Schuldenbremse: ein Plädoyer für methodische Reformen, with C. Zuber, in: Wirtschaftsdienst 102 (11), 822–825, 2022. 

software

• R-package: btsm - Flexible Bayesian Time Series Simulation, Estimation and Prediction in R, available on Github soon

 The views expressed on this website are my own and do not necessarily coincide with the views of the German Council of Economic Experts, the Eurosystem or Deutsche Bundesbank.