christian ochsner - publications

peer-reviewed publications

Journal of International Money and Finance

How Do Credit Supply Conditions Transmit Across the Globe?

with H. Herwartz and H. Rohloff · Journal of International Money and Finance, 161, 2026.

Journal of Forecasting

Robust Real-Time Estimates of the German Output Gap based on a Multivariate Trend-Cycle Decomposition

with T. Berger · Journal of Forecasting, 45(3), 1129-1144, 2026.

A multivariate Bayesian trend-cycle decomposition approach that produces robust real-time output gap estimates for Germany, improving on conventional methods that are subject to large end-of-sample revisions.

Energy Policy

Energy efficiency of residential buildings in the European Union – An exploratory analysis of cross-country consumption patterns

with A. Thonipara, P. Runst and K. Bizer · Energy Policy, 129(6), pp. 1156-1167, 2019.

An exploratory analysis of cross-country patterns in residential energy consumption across EU member states, identifying key determinants of energy efficiency in housing.

working papers

Working Paper

Do Global Public and Private Credit Shocks Distinctly Impact the Business Cycle? Evidence from 38 Advanced and Emerging Economies

with H. Herwartz and H. Rohloff

This paper studies the international transmission of credit supply conditions using data from 38 advanced and emerging economies, identifying distinct channels through which global credit shocks affect domestic business cycles.